The Most Misunderstood Asset Class Isn't Real Estate — It's Attention
Capital · Essay

The Most Misunderstood Asset Class Isn't Real Estate — It's Attention

Capital allocators model everything except the one input that determines whether anyone shows up.

February 28, 2025·7 min read

Every spreadsheet I've ever seen for a hospitality, retail, or events project assumes attention as a constant. Footfall is plugged in. Conversion is plugged in. Repeat rate is plugged in. The model treats human curiosity as a utility — always on, evenly distributed, infinitely renewable.

It is none of those things. Attention is the scarcest, most volatile, most compoundable input in the modern economy, and almost no one underwrites it properly.

Why allocators miss it

Attention doesn't sit on a balance sheet. It can't be financed. It depreciates the moment you stop investing in it. So the people trained to model assets ignore the one asset that determines whether the rest of the model is fiction.

If you're not underwriting attention, you're underwriting a building and hoping for a brand.

The investors who win the next cycle will treat narrative the way the last cycle treated cap rates: as the primary lens, not the post-rationalization.